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For Carney, the G7 is an important moment. Here are five things to watch

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Jessica Murphy

BBC News, Toronto

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney is wearing a dark blue suit and tie, seen against a blue background. He has a neutral expression Getty Images

Leaders of some of the world’s wealthiest countries descended on a luxurious mountain cabin located in the Canadian Rockies to attend this year’s G7 summit.

When Western allies face numerous crises, from conflicts on three continents to global economic instability, elite gatherings come.

The Canadian Chair will host leaders of Kananaskis, Alberta this year in Italy, the United States, France, Germany, the United Kingdom and Japan. It has promised to focus a simplified set of priorities on the global economy and security.

But Mark Carney’s carefully planned agenda has now been overshadowed by the Israel-Iran conflict.

This is his first major international gathering as Canadian Prime Minister.

These are the five challenges ahead.

Carney’s important moment, Iran’s plan to cheat

The summit is scheduled to test his ability to achieve three lofty goals he has set for Canada – playing a leadership role on the global stage, becoming the most powerful G7 economy and breaking away from the U.S. dependence.

Now, the Iran issue suddenly broke out to the top of the G7 agenda, forcing his officials to prepare their preparations again.

But one thing is clear. Carney will be closely watched how he handles U.S. President Donald Trump, who often undermines Canadian sovereignty.

John Kirton, director of the University of Toronto’s G7 research group, said the review will begin with the arrival ceremony and he will need to show that he sees Trump as equal. And when to check him in a meeting.

The summit offers the potential for a Canadian victory in hatching in Washington last month, perhaps a new trade and security deal with the United States.

During that meeting, Carney provided some golf gear from the Kananaskis Country Club, a surrounding scene tightly controlled by the summit.

Trump Factor

The summit was held in a global trade war initiated by Trump, who is using tariffs as a way to rebalance transaction relations. He said the United States “has been robbed, plundered, raped and plundered nations were plundered by friends and enemies.”

It’s also the World Bank predicts that the global economy will see its slowest growth decade since the 1960s, as people think the impact of U.S. tariffs — making it possible that it could have some embarrassment (or “Frank”) in the diplomatic lingo conversation at this family gathering.

Discussions on the global economy will begin on Monday morning.

But Trump’s November election victory pushed the global agenda beyond trade. The gathering provided the president with the opportunity to win, such as immigration, critical minerals, security and drug trafficking – all on the agenda later that day.

The president has met with his G7 since taking office, but he will line up in one-on-one off-field meetings – he already has Carney and the Mexican president in his diary.

According to U.S. officials, his current schedule has two bilateral meetings, although there are no details about who he talks with.

Avoid strikes like 2018

It will be Trump’s second time as U.S. president in Canada, a discord summit in 2018 in Charlieva, Quebec, shortly after he photographed steel and aluminum tariffs in Canada, Mexico and Europe.

Charlevoix is ​​memorable to end the quarrel and chaos – captured by a photo of formerly renowned German Chancellor Angela Merkel, watching the provocative Trump along with other world leaders and American aides.

Bundesregierung/EPA photos provided by the German government on June 9, 2018 show French President Macron (3-L, partially hidden), German Chancellor Angela Merkel (CL) and Japan"S Prime Minister Shinzo Abe (CR) talks with US President Donald J. Trump (R, sit) on the second day in Charlvox, CanadaBundesregierung/EPA

Before Trump left the summit early, leaders worked hard to agree to the final communiqué (a moment captured in Merkel’s image) to reach a consensus on the language of global trade.

He headed to Singapore to sit down with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un, while also releasing the Air Force One omission from then-Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau.

Many tensions seven years ago still make sense today.

Carney wants to avoid similar cheating and told Sky News last month that the lesson he learned from the explosion was “to be consistent – ​​to say privately the same words you did in public and the same words you did on the top of the mountain after the summit”.

A senior Canadian government official said in a briefing last week that the G7 was a “consensus body. We work together.”

With this in mind, Canada chose to evade the final communiqué altogether to support six short shared statements about wildfires, key minerals and other key agendas.

Forest fires, artificial intelligence, critical minerals and Ukraine

Canada’s priorities for the parish are very focused on building stronger economies and strengthening peace and security, including leveraging the power of artificial intelligence and strengthening critical mineral supply chains.

While climate change is not expected to have broad commitments, it has been integrated into the agenda, senior government officials said in a briefing this week that pointed to efforts to increase international joint response to global forest fire threats.

Canada’s worst wildfire season is 2023, and this year is probably the worst in the second inning. Smoke from the fire has covered parts of North America and Europe, and representatives of Kananaski’s representatives can be seen.

Ukraine is another pressing topic on the agenda, and President Volodomyr Zelensky hopes to discuss ongoing support for his country, sanctions on Russia and future financing of reconstruction efforts.

The conflict will be focused on Tuesday morning, with Ukraine expected to push for more sanctions against Russia.

Carney also objected to foreign intervention, especially to the global diaspora community, and the summit’s agenda was high, with the potential for intense discussions with leaders who did not belong to the G7 participants.

Geopolitical mine zone

As a host, Canada’s role includes inviting leaders who are not permanently attached to the seven, while Carney gives a nod to participate, some of which are more controversial than others.

As mentioned earlier, Zelensky will be there.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi will also be a guest, Carney said there is an important discussion that India as a major economic force should be part of it.

Modi’s attendance is a tension between the two countries in the murder of a Sikh separatist leader on Canadian soil.

Canada accused India of targeted killing Hardeep Singh Nijjar two years ago, and the G7 invitation was bounced back among some Sikh Canadians.

Meanwhile, Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum has confirmed that she will be in Kananaskis. Her appearance laid the foundation for negotiations on North American trade, a stage that Trump’s tariffs overturned. Sheinbaum said she was eager to create a one-on-one meeting with Trump, which would be the first between the two.

Kahni also invited European and NATO leaders and their peers from Australia, South Africa, South Korea, Indonesia and Brazil.

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